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INSIDER INFO -- OCTOBER 2008
Et tu, Manzo!
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Low-key contests
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Et tu, Manzo!
Former top aide to House Democratic Leader DeWeese fingers his ex-boss in Bonusgate court hearing
The ongoing Bonusgate investigation took an unexpected turn Wednesday when a former top staffer for the first time directly fingered House Majority Leader Bill DeWeese as being part of an alleged scheme to reward staffers for political work with taxpayer-funded bonuses.
DeWeese, a Greene County Democrat locked in a tough re-election battle this year, has denied any knowledge of bonuses being given for campaign work. He shot back a few hours after Mike Manzo made his explosive allegations during testimony at a court hearing, saying that his former chief of staff’s statements were “absolutely false.”
Manzo was forced out of his job along with six other House Democratic staffers nearly a year ago by DeWeese. He testified in court Wednesday that he believed DeWeese and former House Democratic Whip Mike Veon knew of and approved the alleged bonus-for-campaign-work scheme, according to reports in several media outlets that followed the two-day hearing.
Veon and Manzo are two of the 12 charged so far in the ongoing Bonusgate probe. DeWeese has not been officially accused of any wrongdoing so far.
DeWeese convened a press conference in the Capitol later in the day to rebut Manzo’s testimony.
DeWeese called Manzo ''a desperate, disgruntled former employee whom I fired last year for dishonesty and self-dealing.”
DeWeese further discredited his former top confidant, saying of Manzo: “He has lied to his wife. He has lied to his girlfriend, to investigators and to me. His motives are suspect, and his opinions are just not credible.”
Manzo and wife Rachel, a suspended House Democratic staffer, are among the 12 facing charges in the Bonusgate probe. Manzo is also accused of installing a woman he was having a sexual relationship with in a no-work job with the caucus.
“'Now, he and his wife are confronted with serious criminal charges and long prison sentences, and he is telling a story that conflicts with the yearlong grand jury investigation,” DeWeese said.
DeWeese told reporters that in early 2007 Manzo “twice told law enforcement that I had nothing to do with it. He has since told several people inside our caucus that I had nothing to do with it.”
While Attorney General Tom Corbett has not charged DeWeese with any wrongdoing, he has signaled that more charges could be filed after the November election.
Now, with Manzo’s testimony, DeWeese faces yet another setback in his efforts to hold onto his House seat and his post atop the House Democratic caucus.
DeWeese is locked in a tough re-election battle, facing Republican Greg Hopkins, a former arena league football player whom DeWeese defeated by just over 1,000 votes in 2006. Hopkins has been hitting on the bonus scandal in making the case to voters that they need to make a change.
In addition, 15 House Democrats over the summer called for DeWeese to step down as leader, saying that he should be held accountable for the bonus scandal, since it happened on his watch. DeWeese has held on so far, but the caucus will gather on Nov. 18, after the election, to decide on its new leadership team for the 2009-10 term.
Wednesday’s preliminary court hearing was for only two of the 12 Bonusgate defendants – state Rep. Sean Ramaley, D-Beaver, and Annamarie Peretta-Rosepink, former district office manager for Veon. The remaining defendants, including Veon and nine former or suspended staffers, waived their right to a hearing.
At the close of the two-day hearing in Dauphin County Court, Judge Richard Lewis ruled that there was sufficient evidence for Ramaley and Peretta-Rosepink to go to trial. So now all 12 cases are ready to go forward.
All 12 defendants are accused of theft, conflicts of interest and criminal conspiracy, with the number and severity of the charges varying.
In addition to Manzo, former Veon aide Patrick Lavelle Jr. is also cooperating with prosecutors. He testified Wednesday that his sole job as a taxpayer-funded caucus employee was campaign fund-raising. He said that he raised $2.5 million in the capacity of his state job.
“Mike has agreed to testify truthfully and will do so whenever he's asked to do it,” Eisenhower told The Morning Call of Allentown. “He's extremely remorseful for his conduct and will cooperate with the government.”
(Editor’s Note: Astute political observers will remember that Eisenhower was the 2004 Democratic candidate for attorney general who was narrowly defeated by Republican Tom Corbett, who now controls the Bonusgate probe.)
Lavelle, meanwhile, got four of the six charges against him dropped in exchange for his testimony, several newspapers reported.
The Pittsburgh Tribune-Review quizzed Veon’s lawyer, Robert Del Greco of Pittsburgh, about whether the former House Democratic whip had cut a deal with the prosecution.
“I am not going to go down that slippery slope,” Del Greco told the newspaper.
“As I stand here right now, it is our intention to fight the charges,” he said.
At an unrelated campaign event Wednesday, Gov. Ed Rendell declined to comment on Manzo’s testimony until “they are made in a court of law where they can be cross-examined.”
During Wednesday’s hearing, an attorney general’s office agent, Michael Carlson, described a system in the House Democratic Caucus where six bonus payments were made between December 2004 and January 2007, for a total of $1.64 million. All four legislative caucuses awarded employee bonuses of roughly $4 million during that period of time.
The latest Quinnipiac University Poll has Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., up by 15 percentage points, 54 to 39 percent over Republican rival John McCain in Pennsylvania.
The Muhlenberg University Poll through Oct. 9 showed Obama up by 13 points, 51 to 38 percent in the state.
Polls show that in Pennsylvania and across the nation, a clear majority of voters thought Obama out-did McCain in their two televised campaign debates so far. Thanks to the economic crisis, Obama is starting to pick up momentum in most battleground states and even some Republican red ones.
So why are Pennsylvania Democrats still worried enough that the Obama campaign trotted out Gov. Ed Rendell on Wednesday, with all of this good polling news, to call McCain a “liar” repeatedly – 30 times in a 20-minute news conference to be exact. And Rendell is a politician who abhors that word and never uses it.
Because while the economy remains the story and voters trust Obama more on the economy than McCain, two worries are driving Democrats: the first is that many voters still are willing to distrust Obama for his lack of experience, if they get a reason to, polls show.
The second was summed up on CNN by David Gergen bluntly: ““I think it’s too early to declare this election over, Anderson, because Barack Obama is black,” said Gergen, who has advised presidents of both parties. Gergen said no one knows how much of an effect that will have and how Obama’s race will affect turnout for whites as well as blacks.
And Gergen is right. And there isn’t enough data statewide to say whether white working class voters will vote for a black candidate. Gov. Ed Rendell, who said earlier this year, when campaigning in the primary for U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton, that there were some white voters “who will not vote for a black candidate” now says: “I am very reassured about that, I am feeling better.
“We are in an economic crisis now and it’s like when you are drowning in a river and a man with a coiled rope is on the riverbank. You don’t care if he is black or white, you just hope he is strong enough to throw the rope so you can grab it and not sink.”
One place where you can study how white working class voters react to black candidates for major office is Philadelphia, where Rendell is the only white mayor since 1983, as Wilson Goode was elected to two terms before Rendell, and John Street and Michael Nutter – all three African-Americans -- have followed Rendell.
In 20 white working class Philadelphia wards targeted by Republican State Committeeman and GOP powerbroker Bob Asher and the McCain campaign, which he chairs in Pennsylvania, Democratic 2000 nominee Al Gore and John Kerry and Nutter all got two-thirds of the vote when they ran.
Street fell shy of getting a quarter of the vote, and many voters in those 20 wards, largely in South Philadelphia and Northeast Philadelphia, say that controversial hate-speech-making Rev. Jeremiah Wright makes them equate Obama more with Street than the sunny, change-preaching Nutter. And Republicans know it, which is why mini-flaps like the McCain campaign disowning itself from the Lehigh Valley Republican rally speaker who referred to Obama by his full name this week: "Barack Hussein Obama."
This stuff drives the Obama campaign crazy, and they are registering many black and liberal voters in the once-all-white and Archie-Bunker-ish Northeast.
But if they run 25 percentage points behind Kerry and Gore there, a result Asher believes can be obtained in those 20 wards, and many Democrats quietly agree, that could cut 60,000 votes from Kerry’s margin over President Bush in 2004. Since Kerry only won the state by 144,000 votes, that would be 40 percent of his margin.
Rendell believes Obama will win the rest of the city by more than enough to make up any losses in those white and more conservative wards.
But the worry for Democrats is, what if there is even half that level of fall-off among white working class Democrats in Lackawanna, Luzerne, Allegheny, Beaver and Washington counties?
Kerry won Allegheny by 90,000 votes in 2004, helped by his billionaire wife, Teresa, a charity-donating legend in Allegheny.
One Democrat said: “If they can cut 60,000 from Philly and half of Allegheny’s and [Washington and] Beaver’s margin, you are down 50,000 from the Kerry margin out west. That leaves you 30,000 up, and in the whole rest of the state, you could have some people there who have issues about a black candidate.”
Rendell and his strategist Neil Oxman reply that Obama has registered so many more new Democrats that for the first time in decades, there are more than 1 million more registered Democrats than Republicans, and they expect them to stick with their new party this year.
But as one top Democrat said: “The difference between our voters in Philly and the rest of the state is not that the Philly voters are more racist. It’s just that high-profile blacks have run there so we can see the voting patterns. This is the first test for the rest of the state on whether they will elect a black to high office.”
Plus Republicans are trying to taint that incredible registration surge – there are 4.4 million registered Democrats to 3.2 million Republicans, the latest state numbers suggest – by saying it was achieved by fraud.
Today, Republican State Committee Chairman Rob Gleason and former Supreme Court Justice Sandra Newman alleged major voter fraud in registering new voters. This is partly to pave the way for massive GOP-funded voter challenges on or after Election Day.
But more importantly, it is an attempt to taint Obama, to depict him not as someone so inspiring that voter rolls are at all-time high, but as a Chicago-style political machine politician trying to win on ghost votes.
Hold on tight. Because you can be assured that if Rendell, who never called any of his opponents for mayor or governor a “liar”, is already tarring McCain with that word, and Republicans are charging voter fraud a month before anyone votes, this ride will get nastier than any campaign in recent state history.
Houses races Here’s our take on the toughest state House races sprinkled around the Commonwealth
Like 2006, there is a big Harrisburg scandal that has dominated news coverage of the Pennsylvania Legislature.
But unlike 2006, when voters are asked if the Bonusgate scandal that so far has claimed 12 House Democrats, has affected their opinion of their lawmaker, almost none answer affirmatively.
“It is not something voters bring up unless we mail it and push it,” said one GOP consultant, not working for Farry. “Farry will make it an issue, but it is not something like gas prices or the economy, that voters mention. Except in Beaver County. Bonusgate is like a tornado that only touched down in Beaver County.”
In addition to King’s race, insiders expected the Bonusgate scandal and this week’s bombshell that former House Democratic Caucus chief of staff Mike Manzo testified that his former boss, Majority Leader Bill DeWeese, D-Greene, knew of the illegal bonuses, and directed some of them, would hurt DeWeese.
But voters in Greene County told reporters that they already knew about Bonusgate and considered the allegations against DeWeese, and the news didn’t move them much. DeWeese continued to say Manzo was lying and that he himself was innocent.
One Republican said: “Boy if [DeWeese opponent Greg] Hopkins loses, he has no one to blame but himself. You have Bonusgate coming two years after Hopkins almost beat DeWeese last time over the pay raise, and you have Manzo saying DeWeese knew. What else could you ask for the month before an election?”
Well, interestingly, you could ask the challenger to agree to a debate against the three-decade incumbent. Yup, this is the man-bites-dog race where the incumbent agreed to debate at three different forums and the young clean-cut challenger has yet to accept any such offers.
That is the kind of challenger tactic that gives off the wrong smell to veteran voters in Greene, Fayette and Washington counties, which comprise the district.
The main beneficiary of Bonusgate so far has been Rep. Jim Marshall, R-Beaver, who defeated former House Minority Whip Mike Veon, D-Beaver, who has been identified by Attorney General Tom Corbett as the ringmaster of Bonusgate. Marshall was initially considered one of two Republican seats most likely to fall. Now, post-Bonusgate, as the man who retired Veon, Marshall is considered all but a shoo-in in a seat with about 65 percent Democratic voting performance.
OTHER RACES TO WATCH include:
CLOSE RACES THAT LEAN REPUBLICAN:
Retiring Rep. Jess Stairs, R-Westmoreland, a moderate Republican, is from a district that could well vote for a much more conservative Republican now, Mike Reese, a county government staffer. Unity Twp. board of supervisors chairman Mike O’Barto is running against Reese and is well-liked, but Westmoreland is turning ever more Republican in voting.
Rep. Jay Moyer is trying to avoid being a one-term lawmaker as he faces a tough challenge from Norristown Borough administrator Matt Bradford. Moyer, a former Montgomery County treasurer and township supervisor, is trying to gin up turnout, because his camp is worried that Bradford, a Democrat, will be helped by higher black turnout in Norristown than has been the historic norm.
In 2006, conservative state Rep. Dennis Leh, R-Berks, lost to conservative reformer challenger Billy Reed in the primary. Reed repelled the political establishment in the district, allowing Democrat David Kessler to win. Now Dick Gokey, chairman of the Amity Twp. Board of Supervisors, is running against Kessler, and is a slight favorite, although Kessler has worked hard to appeal to farmers and environmentalists in the district.
CLOSE RACES LEANING DEMOCRATIC:
In Northeast Philadelphia, Democrat Brendan Boyle is favored to defeat Republican Matt Taubenberger, even though Taubenberger is the director of constituent services for retiring Rep. George Kenney, R-Philadelphia. That is how much Northeast Philadelphia is changing, that the Democrat now has the automatic lead in this region.
While Republican candidate Todd Stephens was mounting a tough challenge to incumbent Rep. Rick Taylor in Montgomery County, Taylor, the Democrat, is expected to hold on to win. This has been a nasty race full of ethics allegations and counter-allegations.
Barbara McLain-Smith, D-Chester, beat Republican Shannon Royer by less than 100 votes in 2006, and Royer and former House Speaker John Perzel, R-Philadelphia, Royer’s mentor, think he will defeat her this time. Many GOP insiders doubt Perzel, but note that it was Perzel who defeated Veon in 2006, and dozens of other Democrats over the years. Democrats and business group activists expect McIlvaine-Smith to win again.
TOSS-UPS:
The 149th House District in lower Montgomery County is being vacated by Daylin Leach so he can run for the state Senate, and attorney Tim Briggs, a well-liked Democrat would normally be a shoo-in. But Lynne Lechter, a lawyer, has wowed Republicans and some Democrats. A fairly liberal Republican, she is a good fit for this district and could win, although her fit with the increasingly conservative House GOP caucus if she gets elected could prove more problematic, except for her strong pro-business views. Briggs, 38, is the favorite, but Lechter has gotten major investments from GOP insiders who believe her political skills can win them back this seat, which they regarded as lost.
Carole Rubley, a Republican, probably could have held the 157th House District in Chester County as long as she wished to, but she retired, and now the seat is a pitched battle between Paul Drucker, a Tredyffrin Twp. (Paoli) Supervisor, who might be a hair liberal for the district, and Guy Ciarrocchi, the former Bush campaign coordinator for Pennsylvania, in a district where Drucker is a lot more popular than the president.
The fact that former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum stays over at Ciarrocchi’s house when he visits the east has become an issue in this campaign, as a way to paint Ciarrocchi as a fellow right-wing conservative. Since he was also the long-time spokesman for the Roman Catholic Diocese of Philadelphia, which has become an issue. But Ciarrocchi is a skilled political operative, and by working hard and getting help from his boss, Congressman Jim Gerlach, R-Chester, in moderating his image.
Democrat John DeFrancisco and Republican Nick Miccarelli are waging all-out war to determine which of them will replace Rep. Ron Raymond, R-Delaware. Miccarelli touted the endorsement of the United Auto Workers Local DiFranciso used to run. But then the unionist who endorsed Miccarelli was charged with crimes and Miccarelli is now trying to connect DiFrancisco to that same scandal. This one will be close.
The 31st House District in Bucks County is open because reform-minded Rep. David Steil, R-Bucks is retiring. Steve Santarsiero, who finished just a handful of votes short of making the Bucks County commissioners a Democratic majority for the first time in quite a while, is running for this seat and polls show him leading a tight race with marketing professional Pete Stainthorpe, the Republican.
Rep. Art Hershey of Chester County is retiring. Tom Houghton, a Democrat, ran well against Hershey in 2006 in a district with three Republicans for every two Democrats. Now he faces banker John Lawrence, and Lawrence, a Republican, has an additional problem: a cousin of Rep. Hershey, also named Hershey, running as an independent conservative, whom GOP insiders fear could split the vote and elect Houghton.
Rep. Tom Tangretti, D-Westmoreland, is also retiring and will be replaced by one of two candidates who are both impressing insiders. Attorney John Boyle, a former aide to Congressman Jack Murtha, is the Democrat, while attorney Tim Krieger, who is wowing Republicans and business groups, is the Republican. Either could win, and both would be of the social conservative side. Both are candidates to watch in the future.
Low-key contests Democrat Rob McCord has huge financial edge in State treasurer race against GOP’s Tom Ellis
One of the most under-the-radar statewide races in Pennsylvania this year is for an office whose holder will be responsible for managing and investing $20 billion in state funds and overseeing the $102 billion in the state’s two pension funds.
Sound like a challenging job given the current national and world economy.
With the stock market spiraling downwards in recent weeks, more voters may want to start tuning in to the race for state Treasurer between Democrat Rob McCord and Republican Tom Ellis, both of Montgomery County.
The newspaper credited Ellis for having “interesting ideas on campaign finance reform (which Mr. McCord is not much interested in) and improving the state's college tuition savings program.” It also cited Ellis’s executive experience as a former Montgomery County commissioner.
The Post-Gazette editorial stated that questions have been raised about McCord’s independence, noting he “raised large amounts of money from friends connected with Wall Street, which is not the most admired constituency in today's world.”
Ellis latched onto the endorsement, touting it in a statement he put out Monday.
“I have been traveling across the Commonwealth spreading my message of leadership, accountability and experience and I am proud that this editorial board agrees with my message!” Ellis said in the statement.
Ellis may have gotten a boost from the Post-Gazette this week, but McCord will have a huge money advantage going into the final weeks of the campaign. Plus he will benefit from the 1.1 million voter registration advantage among Democrats which was spurred by intense interest in the presidential election, also on Nov. 4.
In a September campaign finance report, McCord stated that he had raised $2 million and carried over another $345,000 from the primary campaign. He spent $284,000 and had $2 million on hand.
And that is after McCord spent nearly $3 million to win a four-way Democratic primary earlier this year.
McCord’s campaign told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette it plans to start airing ads later this month.
Ellis, meanwhile, only raised $207,000 and spent $120,000, according to the Post-Gazette. That puts him at a severe disadvantage, particularly going into the election carrying the Republican brand.
It is not known how much, if any, of Ellis’ meager war chest might be made up by resources and contributions, including advertising, by the state Republican Party on his behalf.
The two candidates’ backgrounds, while different, do include political and financial experience, although neither has been elected to statewide office.
Ellis spent 12 years as a Cheltenham Township commissioner, before being elected to a four-year term as Montgomery commissioner in 2003. He also spent 22 years as a bond finance lawyer with the Philadelphia law firm of Ballard Spahr Andrews & Ingersoll where he is currently employed. Ellis said his public finance practice has focused on matters involving school districts, municipalities, counties, colleges and universities.
McCord has never run for office, but he was a congressional aide in the 1980s, including a stint working for then-U.S. Sen. Al Gore of Tennessee and former Rep. Norman Mineta of California, who chaired the U.S. House Transportation Committee.
He later served as the CEO of the nonprofit Congressional Institute for the Future. Since 1994, McCord has worked as a finance professional and venture capitalist, helping raise money for new life science and information technology firms, which he says brought 2,000 jobs to the state.
The candidates have clashed over the issue of campaign finance disclosure. According to The Associated Press, Ellis has challenged McCord to prohibit money managers from receiving a contract to invest state funds if they contributed to the winning treasurer’s campaign.
“It gives confidence back to our residents that money is being invested for the right reasons and not because somebody gave a large political contribution,” Ellis told the AP.
McCord told the Associated Press would rather avoid a “gotcha game” and instead proposed setting up an advisory board to document who has been awarded contracts to manage state funds and what their qualifications are.
“We'll make sure we're earning the public trust by showing how we vet things and how we avoid bias,” McCord told the AP.
Ellis, meanwhile, has voiced support for legislation that would call on the state Treasury and pension funds to divest of investments in companies that are linked to terrorist-sponsoring nations like Sudan and Iran. He also says he would encourage state schools to give discounted tuition to students, when their parents are using returns from the state’s 529 college savings program to pay for college costs.
McCord emphasizes he would be an “independent investment professional” for the state, and that he would work to create jobs, like he did as a venture capitalist. He told the AP that he believes the state can get a better return on its money by finding innovative investment opportunities, such as in energy conservation projects that save money.
In the past, the office of Treasurer has at times been a stepping stone to higher office. U.S. Sen. Robert Casey Jr. was elected to the post in 2004, before winning election to the Senate in 2006. Lt. Gov. Catherine Baker Knoll also held the post, between 1989 and 1997.
But the current office-holder, Treasurer Robin Wiessmann, agreed not to run for election this year, when Rendell nominated her in April 2007 to fill out Casey’s term. Wiessman, however, is rumored to be looking at other political options in the future and will no doubt tout her time as state treasurer.
Both McCord and Ellis say they are running for the office because of a sincere interest in public finance and not out of any interest in moving up the political ladder.
McCord is a 1982 graduate of Harvard University and holds a master’s of business administration from the University of Pennsylvania. He lives in Bryn Mawr with his wife and two sons.
Ellis graduated from college and law school at the University of Pennsylvania. He lives in Cheltenham with his two daughters.
Libertarian Berlie Etzel, 77, is also running for the office. He is a retired college mathematics and science professor and elected constable from Clarion County. He lives in Shippenville with his wife and has three grown children.
The treasurer will oversee an in-office budget of $60 million and more than 500 employees who handle state fiscal and investment matters for the Commonwealth.
Prognosticator Award 2008 Put your political wits to work and win a handsome wall plaque by correctly guessing the outcome of the Nov. 4 election here
Make your prediction on who will win the President’s race in Pennsylvania, how many counties each candidate will win and what will be the composition of the state House of Representatives and the state Senate after the Nov. 4 elections for 2009-2010.
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Fill out the form below and fax it to editor Al Neri at 717-774-1593. Or better yet copy it into your browser and paste it into an e-mail. Then fill out your entry and e-mail it to alneripa@aol.com:
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